You're hedging. When you say nightmare, how do you define that? If not by sales (40M > Win 7), is it by app counts, by profits, or something else? Essentially, a year from now, what is your criteria that validates said nightmare?
Okay, fine: We’ll continue to hear talk of disappointing internal numbers. The continued dominance of other tablets. Businesses bitching about the software. General consumer apathy. The continued decline of the PC market. More talk of the “Blue” project to try to course-correct. Earnings misses. Stock continues to stagnate or drops. And several more key Microsoft departures throughout 2013.
Is that enough? I can go on.